Bearded kings

VOL IX VOL VI VOL V VOL IV VOL II VOL I Figurines are not uncommon in the Southern Levant, but few can be plausibly suggested to be of kings. But Tel Abel Beth Maacah, a acre site in northernmost Israel that was settled throughout the Bronze and Iron Ages, may have produced just such an image. The unique and important find at Tel Abel Beth Maacah is a small and exquisite head of a bearded male made of a glazed silicate material called faience.

The head was found in a monumental building, possibly a citadel, constructed on the highest point of the tell during the Iron Age IIA. To date, the excavated part of the building comprises a row of rooms along the northern end of this structure, bordered by a courtyard.

Radiocarbon dating of charred olive pits from the floor of the room in which the head was found provided a date within the 9th century BCE. The head measures 5. The tint of the skin is light green. The almond-shaped eyes and the pupils are lined with black and the pursed lips lend the figure a look that is part pensive, part stern.

The tip of the nose and the beard are broken and it is difficult to say whether the head was broken off at the neck. This is an important question, as it would indicate whether the head was part of a larger figure or was created just as a head. Faience is a material known since the 4th millennium BCE or even earlier and was common in both Mesopotamia and Egypt, characterized by a colored glazed exterior.

It is similar in composition to ancient glass, but unlike glass it is made with lower temperatures and does not melt. Basically, fine sand or some other form of quartz is ground together with salts and different minerals that are used as colorants, and water is added.

The resulting paste can be squeezed into a mold or shaped into a form. There are several ways of producing the glazed exterior. In one of the procedures, the object is left to dry and the salts carrying the colorants migrate to the surface creating a glazed colored surface upon heating.

Another method would be to create the object from the paste and then add the coloration by dipping and painting. X-ray fluorescence analysis of a different part of the head showed that for the greenish color of the skin, copper was added to the paste, while manganese was used for the black hair.

We hypothesize that the greenish tint is the result of copper migrating towards the surface, while the black color was created by mixing manganese with a some of the paste and applying it to the head with a brush, before heating.Here is my take. Its not as quiet as my 2004 4Runner, especially on rough roads. On the Freeway it is quiet, so long as the road surface is good. Seats are comfy but the hip bolstering can make it difficult to get out of the vehicle.

Stereo sounded pretty good at a stop or stop light, but the sound quality goes down hill as the speed increases. Its nimble and the short wheel base takes all of the credit.

The MPG was around 24 with lots of city driving, I'm not a lead foot or a grandpa driver. So would I consider this for purchase. No, the deal breaker is the amount of noise that makes into the car.

bearded kings

I'd like to add that on the previous day I had a 2017 Ford Fusion hybrid and that thing was luxury quiet, on any road surface. I use to have a 2015 Hyundai Santa Fe Sport and that thing was quieter and more fun to drive than the RAV4.

So there is my take, good luck with your decision. The drivability of the car is great due to it's 6 speed transmission. If driven gently mpg are in the 30s. One odd thing we found is the rear seat warning lights were on some days and off on others upon start up.

It turns out the lights are triggered by the opening of the back doors so if the doors are opened between having been driven the warning lights come on upon start-up.

If the doors had not been opened the lights do not come on. I had to call Toyota, the dealer had no idea how they worked. Report Abuse Read All Reviews consumers review the RAV4 Read what real owners think about the 2017 Toyota RAV4 4. By facing negative reviews head-on and graciously resolving outstanding issues, you lead with customer service.

You show a growing community of people just how you run your business.We had the most amazing eight day trip in Norway organised by Sara Osk, our travel advisor at Nordic Visitor. We had a lot of trouble deciding on which tour to do and Sara was very patient in answering our questions and provided excellent advice on what she thought would be the best tour for what we wanted and in the time we had. I couldn't have asked for more from Sara, she went above and beyond to help us, and I'm very grateful for all she did as everything ran so smoothly which no doubt made the trip more enjoyable.

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Shoutout to Larus at Nordic Visitor - he's awesome and was always available to answer my questions as quickly as possible. Alexandra was really helpful when our flight was delayed and we were messed around by the airline. Even though our flight did not arrive till gone midnight (9 hours late. The maps and books provided were excellent and allowed us to plan our time and get the most out of the holiday. Overall the accommodation was excellent and experience was amazing.Sorry for any issues Are prediction markets now too stable, because people trust them too much.

I explore with Andrew Gelman in a new post at Slate. I know it is not as sexy or important as the president, but senate races are just really exciting. Wisconsin and Illinois are very likely Democrats gains from Republicans in blue states. Nevada is now a tight hold for the Democrats.

Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florid are all leaning Republican by a whisker. Ohio and North Carolina are leaning Republican a little more strongly.

The chart tracks the probability of victory on PredictWise since we started state-by-state predictions on February 27, 2016. I know that an efficient market should have everything priced in immediately, but the state-by-state predictions have slipped slightly above the national predictions in the last few days. She just needs to win one of those and she is president.

At this point I have been constructing the predictions independently and they have stayed very consistent. If this divergence continues I will become increasingly concerned about whether the national markets are suppressed.

If there is a good lesson for American public opinion from Brexit it this. The two set of voters: leave and remain, live in a totally different reality. The remain voters got increasingly freaked out about the British economy as a possibility turned into a reality. The leave voters, most of them, assume that it was meaningless fit of the elite bankers who were upset they did not get their way.

A small fraction of leave voter regret their vote. But, remain would most likely win a re-vote, because a huge number of non-voters feel silly for not voting remain. Brexit happened, what does that mean for the USA. This does not affect how I predict the USA election, because (1) the USA has a long history of data versus a one-shot event (2) the USA has many outcomes to calibrate on versus just one outcome (3) we have more data for the USA election than Brexit.

But, we certainly learned that a segment of the UK voters really want immigration restrictions and trade barriers.

bearded kings

And then there were two. While Bernie Sanders is technically still running, Donald Trump v. This lead may be surprisingly small to some people (Democrats) or surprisingly large to others (believers in fundamental models).

A lot more to follow in the next 6 months and 4 days.

Beard Gang DRIP

It has been so much fun, but there is a really good chance that the primary effectively ends in 30 minutes feeling nostalgic yet. A quick post on the state of the election at 191 until Election Day. Also, just added Newt Gingrich into the Republican VP slot should keep an eye on him.

We pushed some updates to the site this morning. Musings will be brief updates on data, so I can reserve blog posts for more complete thoughts. Our polling reflects bleeding-edge research into cost-effective, fast, flexible, and accurate polling with an emphasis on politics and finance.

We infuse raw polling data with machine-learning-based post-polling analytics along with a host of other data. The backbone of predictions on this site are market-based, generated from real-money markets that trade contracts on upcoming events.

PredictWise is run by David Rothschild an innovative, and stylish economist at Microsoft Research in New York City, but should in no way be construed as representing the views or predictions of Microsoft or any of its entities. How do these match. Prior to the end of the primary strategic or upset party voters will state they will not vote for the other possible nominees.

That is helpful to their candidate. Clinton, but not vote or vote for Clinton v. Starting with the 2012 map, Clinton just needs to hold VA, OH, or FL.I am now able to understand R scripts and hopefully contribute some of my own.

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This course has given me a much better understanding of biostatistics and will allow me to gain more from my campus based studies. This course supplied a solid foundation for identifying statistical outliers in demand patterns for business planning purposes. I much enjoyed your text mining course last year and plan to take the deep learning one - thanks for creating itThis course fundamentally deepened my understanding of statistics and studies.

I will certainly apply the knowledge gained as often as possible.

Bearded Dragon swimming in naturalistic backyard pond

Absolutely vital course for understanding basic epidemiology, studies and statistics. I would recommend that everyone get a copy of the textbook before class though. It complements the ActivEpi CD extremely well. This course will greatly contribute to my work as an environmental data scientist and division director.

This course was a great introduction of how to use R to fit the models and how to interpret the R output. Great explanations provided by the course instructor in the videos and on the discussion board. The Assistant Teacher was very diligent and professional in reaching out to me and giving me every opportunity to be successful in this course.Concept Paper, Proposal Writing, and Prospectus: Work with you to develop research questions and testable hypotheses, find gaps in the literature, create a problem statement, select a theoretical framework, and sketch out a methodology.

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bearded kings

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